How Gov. Candidates Will Win – and Lose

Who’s going to win the primaries for governor?

Here’s a quick snapshot of how the leading candidates can win – and lose.

First, the Dems in alphabetical order.

Ras Baraka: 

He will win by driving a large turnout of minority voters – and by winning the majority of support from left-leaning groups. Some of his supporters will need to ignore the wisdom of some that the Newark mayor is too radical to win in November. For what it is worth, many Republicans hope Baraka is the Democratic nominee.

Baraka will lose if turnout in such places as Newark is – as usual – light. He will also be in trouble if more liberal voters gravitate to Steve Fulop.

Steve Fulop:

Do policy wonks swing elections? To win, Fulop has to hope so. He began drafting detailed positions on such key issues as…