Weak jobs data boosts odds of Fed rate cut
By: Bonnie Sinnock | Published: 2025-08-01 15:35:00 | Source: www.nationalmortgagenews.com
Overall employment numbers fell below what the market anticipated, with 73,000 July job additions compared to estimates for 104,000, making it more likely that a mortgage rate drop is nigh and that industry hiring may escalate.
Bond market reaction to the Bureau of Labor Statistics data could lower long-term mortgage rates near term, according to First American Senior Economist Sam Williamson’s commentary.
“Markets often move ahead of policy, and rising expectations of a cut could begin to lower long-term yields. That may lead to a modest decline in mortgage rates even before the Fed acts,” he said.
Treasury bond prices jumped higher immediately after the employment report’s release, putting downward pressure on rate-indicative yields, but trading in mortgage bonds more directly tied to…